Tag: Industrial Revolution

  • List of Posts By Topic

    List of Posts By Topic

    The Beginning of the Industrial Revolution

    The theme of the following four sections of the blog is that innovation, not price competition, is the basis for understanding economic growth, competition, and analysis.

    Basic Concepts and Theory

    Market Behavior and StructureMarket

    Dynamics and Information:  How Markets Work

    Economic Theory and Markets

    Corporate Strategies

    There is beginning a historic change in future populations and their demographics. This will interact with other variables and have a serious, maybe profound, effect on future economic growth.

    Demographics and Economics

    China

    Geopolitics and the Global Economy

    American Economic History

    Management

    The world seems to be in the midst of radical political and social change. Where are we going? Can studying past periods and countries facing disrupting change help us navigate our times? Maybe.

    History

    American History

    World War I:  The Beginning of the 20th Century

    The Roman Republic and America – Differences and Some Possible Parallels

    Economic and Fiscal Policy

    Financial Markets and Investment Strategies

    Foreign Exchange Markets
    The United States
    American Foreign Policy and International Relations
    Geopolitics and the Global Economy
    Geopolitics of Oil and Natural Gas

    Visionaries

    Humor, Satire, WhimsyI Heard the News Today
    Higher Education

    THE BEGINNING OF THE THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTIONThese posts analyze the factors behind the start of the Industrial Revolution in England and America.  Pre-conditions were important. They illustrate some of the reasons why, in the long run, America was able to continue industrializing better than England, and why England fell behind.
    England in the 1600s: The Beginning of England’s Rise to Global Power and Wealth
    The Beginning of the Industrial Revolution in EnglandAdam Smith’s Pin Factory

    Josiah Wedgwood, the Wedgwood Pottery Company, and the Beginning of the Industrial Revolution
    The Beginning of the Industrial Revolution in AmericaInnovate or Fall Behind. A Cautionary Tale – England and the Industrial Revolution
    BASIC ECONOMIC CONCEPTS AND THEORY

    Introduction to Economic Theory

    Economic Development and Economic GrowthDemographics and Economic Growth

    Modern Production Functions and Global Supply ChainsDemand Analysis

    You, Your Brain and Credit Cards

    Critique of Basic Economic Theory
    The following post was contributed by Dennis Schuchman.
    Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Real Intelligence (RI)

    MARKET BEHAVIOR AND STRUCTURECompetition:  Strategies and Structure

    Imperfect Competition: Large Companies and Oligopoly

    A Stylized Model of Innovation:  The Dynamics of Capitalism

    Corporate Growth Strategies

    Case Study:  Parker Hannifin

    Bilateral Oligopoly

    Examples of Bilateral Oligopoly
    MARKET DYNAMICS AND INFORMATION:  HOW MARKETS WORK
    This group of posts emphasize the dynamics of economic growth and development, They highlight the role of information in the functioning of modern markets.

    Introduction to Information and Economic Structure

    How Markets Work:  Transaction Costs and Market-Makers

    Asymmetric Information and Market Prices

    The Market for Companies:  Acquisitions and Asymmetric Information
    ECONOMIC THEORY AND MARKETS

    A Stylized Model of Innovation:  The Dynamics of Capitalism
    Inconspicuous Consumption in the Age of Affluence

    CORPORATE STRATEGIES

    Corporate Strategies:  Basic Concepts and Management

    Corporate Strategies:   Mergers and Acquisitions

    Corporate Strategies:  Marketing and Price Discrimination

    Corporate Strategies:  Organizational Change in the Future

    Corporate Growth Strategies

    DEMOGRAPHICS AND POPULATION PROJECTIONS
    These six posts present the latest long-run demographic and population projections, and the implications for economic growth and public policy. Read together, they provide a framework for the future geopolitical competition and tensions among different regions of the world.
    Introduction to Demographics and Global Population Projections
    Demographics, Immigration and Future Economic Growth of the United StatesDemographics and Population Projections of JapanGlobal Demographics and Population ProjectionsDemographics and Economic Growth
    Nigeria:  A Case Study
    CHINAChina’s Development StrategyThe Strange Political Economics of the Chinese Auto IndustryChina’s Economy, Politics, and Demography

    China’s Economic Statistics

    Robots. “It’s Alive”GEOPOLITICS AND THE GLOBAL ECONOMYEngland in the 1600s: The Beginning of England’s Rise to Global Power and WealthThe English East India Company:  Trade with AsiaThe English East India Company:  Model for Future Multinational Corporations?

    AMERICAN ECONOMIC HISTORYThe Beginning of the Industrial Revolution in America
    How America Industrialized and Became Wealthy
    Introduction to the Stock Market Crash of 1929 and the Start of the Great Depression
    The Stock Market Crash of 1929 and the Beginning of the Great Depression

    Alice in Wonderland and the Origins of Silicon Valley
    AMERICAN HISTORY
    Why Study History? Lessons for Americans
    American Colonial History, 1607-1775Revolution and the New Country:  American History, 1775-1790A New Nation, America from 1789 to 1860

    The American Civil War

    Berkeley in the 60s:  A Personal Reminiscence

    Alice in Wonderland and the Origins of Silicon Valley
    Nonprofits in the American Economic SystemNonprofits II:  Issues, Costs, and BenefitsReligion and American Politics: A Historical PerspectiveWhat Now?  The Crisis of America’s Middle Class

    MANAGEMENT
    The 10 Minute MBA– Almost Everything You Need to Know to Manage Organizations, People, and YourselfManage Yourself
    Alan Turing, Computers and Strategic Management

    The Limits of Negotiation:  A Little Applied Game TheoryWORLD WAR I – THE BEGINNING OF THE 20TH CENTURY
    Bismarck and the Origins of World War I
    The Beginning of the Twentieth Century:  The Path to World War I
    Wealth and Power in Pre-World War I Europe 
    The Austro-Hungarian Empire Before World War IEurope on the Brink of World War IWhy Germany Lost World War IThe Immediate and Long-Run Historical Consequences of World War IRelated studies by Professor Andrea Dragon.The Maxim Machine Gun and Smokeless Powder

    New Jersey Artillery Explosives Production in World War I

    KELP IS ON THE WAY: How American Kelp Helped Save the English Explosives Industry in World War I

    THE ROMAN REPUBLIC AND AMERICA – DIFFERENCES AND SOME POSSIBLE PARALLELSThe Roman Republic Commits Suicide:  A Cautionary Tale for AmericaThe Roman Republic and America

    ECONOMIC AND FISCAL POLICYTrump’s Tariffs and Their ConsequencesGovernment Finance 101:  Fiscal Policy. Welcome to Alice in Wonderland.

    Government Finance 102:  Monetary Policy. The Red Queen’s Race President Obama Tries to Save American Capitalism and America’s Global Influence

    The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Forecasts the Future

    FINANCIAL MARKETS AND INVESTMENT STRATEGIES
    The Economics of Financial Markets
    Explaining Derivatives – An Analogy

    FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS

    Foreign Exchange Markets I:  Appreciating Dollar, Commodity Prices and the American Economy

    Foreign Exchange Markets II:  The Global Economy

    THE UNITED STATES

    The Prince in a DemocracyPresident Obama Learns Some Game Theory

    Fear and Loathing in America
    How to be Elected President

    AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

    American Tariffs and the Economic War with ChinaPax Americana:  America as a Global Power

    Pax Americana:  The World America Made

    Breaking Away:  Britain and the European Union

    The Economy After the 2016 Election

    Implementing Foreign Policy:  President Obama Learned to Think Like an Economist

    American Foreign Policy Since 1991

    VISIONARIES

    John von Neumann, Alan Turing, and Claude Shannon (creator of information theory) knew each other, knew of each other’s work, and discussed their ideas with each other.
    John von Neumann Sees the Future

    Alan Turing, Computers, and Strategic Management
    Martin Luther King

    HUMOR/SATIRE/WHIMSY
    Trump’s World:  A Little Bit of Gentle Satire

    The Sayings of the Don, the Capo Maga of Washington Future News

    Egg Smuggling:  EGG-TRA, EGG-TRA READ ALL ABOUT IT!

    Ribbit Wins a Ribbon

    I HEARD THE NEWS TODAY
    Tariffs and America’s Economic War with China

    Tariffs, The American Auto Industry, and Tesla

    HIGHER EDUCATION

    The High Cost of Higher Education

    School for Scandal:  An Insider’s Look at How and Why Colleges Rip Off Students, Parents, and Taxpayers

    Taking a College Course:  What are You Buying?
    Putting a Price on Professors
    The Costs of Athletic Scholarships

    How to Pay for College

    How to Succeed in CollegeGLOBAL ECONOMICS AND POLITICS,2010-2020

    This essay, published in 2018, discussed many the issues that are central to the current EU crisis.

    Breaking Away:  Britain and the European Union(2018)
    Background on the current crisis.
    Ukraine and Russia  (2014)

    Ukraine – Background, Outline, and Scenarios(2014)
    The Crimea, Russia, and U.S. Options  (2014)

    The issues discussed in the following essay are still important today.
    Arab Spring, Arab Autumn  (2012)

    Why and how China has avoided the mistakes Russia made after the fall of Communism in 1991.
    Russia and China – Contrasts  (2011)

    Discusses the options the United States had, and still has, following the al Qaeda attack in 2001. 

    Superpower:  The United States and Terrorism

    (2010)GEOPOLITICS OF OIL AND NATURAL GASThe geopolitics of oil will continue to remain important until the switch to substitute renewable resources and EVs.
    Energy and Geopolitics I: The United States(2015)

    Energy and Geopolitics II: The World ex-United States(2015)Note on the Current Global Oil Market  (2015)
    Saudi Arabia, Oil and Geopolitics (2015)

    The $100 a Barrel Solution  (2012)

    Surprisingly, some of the comments in the following essay may be somewhat relevant to the United States, more dependent on fracked oil and lagging in innovating substitutes that drive future economic growth and development.

    The Oil Curse  (2010)

  • England in the 1600s: The Beginning of England’s Rise to Global Power and Wealth

     

     

     

     

    INTRODUCTION

     

    In 1600, England had been an insular and agricultural nation, trading primarily with nearby northern Europe. By 1700, England’s commerce was complex and global, as London competed successfully with Amsterdam for American produce and Asian luxuries.

     

    Alan Taylor,  American Colonies:  The Settling of North America, 258.

     

    A theme that runs through this essay is the global maritime rivalry with Holland. England and Holland became global trade rivals in the 1600s. They fought three wars that weakened Holland and eliminated it as a naval rival. 

     

    England’s main instrument in its rivalry with the Dutch in Asia was the English East India Company (EIC). In America and the West Indies, it was the Navigation Acts.

     

    By the end of the century, England was on its way to becoming a global maritime trading and naval power. The Dutch had lost out in North America but had established a vast trading network throughout Asia, centered in the Dutch East Indies (Indonesia). It was generally not competitive with the main Asian trade of the EIC or competitive with England as a European political power.

     

    This essay on the spectacular economic progress of England in the 1600s also provides background and context for three other essays on this blog. 

     

    American Colonial History, 1607-1775

     

    This background essay helps explain the changing relationship between England and her North American colonies in the context of England’s expanding global trade. It emphasizes the importance of England’s Navigation Acts to the American colonies. The objective was to reduce the role of the Dutch in the American colonies and the West Indies and monopolize all trade with the American colonies and the British West Indies.

    The Dutch were instrumental in financing early sugar production in Barbados. They also dominated early financing and shipping of the tobacco industry in the Chesapeake (Virginia and Maryland). Dutch shipping rates were lower than those of the English. 

     

    The English sugar islands in the West Indies, mostly Barbados, was the largest source of English imports in the 1600s and an important source of import taxes. In the North American English colonies, England was able to take over the Dutch settlement at New Amsterdam, renamed New York, and using the Navigation Acts, to eliminate Dutch shipping that dominated the trans-Atlantic tobacco trade from the Chesapeake.

      

    NAVIGATION ACTS

     

    As part of its maritime rivalry with Holland, England passed the Navigation Acts.

     

    First enacted in 1651 and strengthened in 1660 and 1663, the Navigation Acts were aimed at the Dutch. All exports and imports of the American colonies and West Indies had to go through England, on English or American ships. Even foreign goods bound for the Americas had to pay custom duties in England. The only exceptions were American exports other than the main exports of tobacco, rice, and indigo. As sugar production in the West Indies, exploded after starting in the 1600s, most other American exports went to the British West Indies.

     

    England imposed high taxes (custom and excise duties) on American tobacco exported to England. During 1660s, new Navigation Acts regulations forced American tobacco growers to ship all their tobacco to England on English ships. Before that, Dutch ships controlled much of the tobacco trade because their rates were lower than English ships. This hurt the tobacco growers because this caused a tobacco glut in England, fewer ships competed for the tobacco trade, and now all tobacco had to go to England and pay high import taxes.

     

    The Navigation Acts were an important part of the mercantilist policies of England. According to mercantilism, the government had the right and the power to shape trade in the political interests of the country. This meant economic war, especially with the Dutch. 

     

    The Dutch and English waged three wars, in 1652-54, 1664-67, and 1672-74. The second war was triggered when an English fleet in 1664 conquered Holland’s American colony New Amsterdam, renaming it New York.

     

    ENLAND AND HOLLAND IN THE AMERICAS

    England’s main instrument in its rivalry with the Dutch in Asia was the English East India Company (EIC). In America and the West Indies, it was the Navigation Acts.

    This rivalry was part of the wider political and economic environment of the American colonies in the 1600s.

    In the 1600s, the West Indies became the most valuable part of the English colonial empire. Sugar from the West Indies was far more valuable than tobacco from the Chesapeake.

    In 1686, London imported West Indian produce worth £674,518, compared with £207,131 obtained from all the North American mainland colonies.  Sugar constituted £586,528 of the West Indian total, while tobacco accounted for £141,600 of the mainland produce.

    Taylor, 205

    In 1650, the main sugar island of Barbados had a greater white population than the Chesapeake and New England combined. 

    After failing to raise tobacco and cotton, Barbados struck it rich with sugar, starting in the 1640s. By 1660, Barbados accounted for more trade than all other American colonies combined.

    The sugar planters developed a strong lobby in England, partly because many wealthy sugar planters retired to England. They protected sugar imports from high import taxes. The tobacco growers along the Chesapeake were not so lucky. 

     

    In 1668-69 the West Indian sugar crop sold for about £180,000 after it paid about £18,000 in customs duty – compared with the £50,000 reaped (netted) by Chesapeake planters over and above their customs duty of £75,000.

    Taylor, 216

    This suggests a number of things about the Virginia tobacco growers. It was probably one reason the Barbados planters were wealthier than the Virginia planters, and why Virginia planters went into debt to buy luxuries and expand production (buy land and slaves). It is also intriguing to speculate that this was one reason American tobacco growers complained about being “slaves” to the English crown and merchants who lent them credit. Some of Virginia’s largest planters supported and led the American Revolution.

     

    By 1775, the American colonies were England’s largest trading (imports and exports) partner. 

     

    The new set of Navigation Acts in the 1660s made the economic situation worse for Chesapeake tobacco growers. One aim was to eliminate Dutch ships from buying and transporting Virginia tobacco. This drove down prices and worsened the tobacco glut in England.

     

    England and Holland became global trade rivals in the 1650s and 1660s. In the Americas and West Indies, the Dutch captured most of the carrying trade because they charged less than the English. England passed the Navigation Acts to prohibit American exports to use Dutch ships. In addition to being forced to use English and American ships, almost all produce had to go to England and, in the case of tobacco, pay high excise taxes.

     

    The English East India Company:  Trade with Asia

     

    THE START OF EUROPEAN TRADE WITH ASIA. PORTUGAL IN THE 1500s

     

    Spices and luxury goods from Asia were limited and prices went up after the Ottoman Turks conquered Constantinople in 1453. The last leg of trade with Asia was dominated by Venice.

     

    Before the seventeenth century, trade across Eurasia was mostly conducted in short segments along the Silk Road and maritime routes through the Indian Ocean. Business was organized by family firms, merchant networks, and state-owned enterprises. Trade was dominated by Chinese, Indian, and Arab traders. 

     

    In 1492, Catholic Spain, after a 400-year crusade, finally conquered the last Muslim area. Spain then bankrolled Columbus’ voyages, expecting he would bring back gold and silver from Asia. The national government expected to use this wealth to finance a continuation of its crusade by conquering Muslim North Africa. 

     

    After more than 80 years of trying, in 1497-8 a Portuguese fleet went around the bottom of Africa (Cape of Good Hope) and reached India. And returned laden with spices. It was a very profitable trip. Following voyages established Portuguese trading positions in India and links with Asia east of India. Portugal discovered and conquered the Spice Islands, which were the major source of Asian spices exported to Europe.

     

    Portugal had shown in the 1500s that long-distance voyages from Europe around Africa to India and beyond were both possible and profitable.

     

    But Portugal was a small and poor country. It had a small merchant class. Portugal, relying on a combination of state support (with political objectives) and charted private shipping (much of it foreign), was not able to fully exploit the profit potential of the trade. The number of trips were small, partly because financing was sporadic and inadequate. 

     

    Portugal’s Asian trade and Spain’s conquest of Latin America meant that rivalry among Europe’s nation-states was no longer confined to Europe and the Mediterranean. It was now global. Trade and conquest outside of Europe brought new wealth to European countries; the wealth could finance increased national power.

     

    The spice trade from Asia to Europe was both highly profitable and risky. By 1600, both England and Holland were ready to try.

     

    THE ENGLISH EAST INDIA COMPANY:  TRADING WITH ASIA

    England had defeated a Spanish attempt at invasion in 1588 and was thinking about how to become a colonial power. The country began thinking about colonies in North America and the West Indies. 

     

    The merchants of both countries realized that the traditional way to finance trading voyages – merchants and ship owners raising capital for each voyage separately and distributing profits and capital after the voyage – would be inadequate for the huge capital requirements of a sustained, large scale, risky trading venture in Asia. Merchants, investors, and shipowners would have to solicit outside investors to raise enough capital.

     

    They succeeded. For 200 years, the EIC and the VOC were the two largest private companies in Europe, based on book value (total capitalization).

     

    The instrument of England initiating trade with Asia in 1600 was the English East India Company (EIC), a government sanctioned trading monopoly. The goal throughout the century was to reduce or eliminate the competition from the Dutch East India Company (VOC). 

     

    Eventually, the EIC evolved into a quasi-state that ruled most of India. The EIC brought great wealth to England’s merchant class and helped develop new financial institutions.

     

     

    THE ENGLISH EAST INDIA COMPANY (EIC) AND DEVELOPMENT WITH TRADE WITH ASIA

     

    Why England and Holland both decided to make very large investments in the long-distance Asian trade at this time.

     

    • Both countries had a poor chance of becoming continental powers in Europe. 
    • Both countries had small populations compared to France, Spain, and Austria.
    • Both countries were Protestant, often at war with the larger Catholic countries of Europe.
    • Neither could compete with the Catholic countries in European continental wars.

     

    In contrast, both countries were maritime countries with a strong merchant class growing rich on maritime trade and finance.

     

    • ·      Holland was a republic dominated by its merchant class. 
    • ·      England was a constitutional monarchy where Parliament had to approve taxes.
    • ·      Both had a shipbuilding industry and experienced sailors, the basis of strong navies.
    • ·      Both were capable of building large merchant ships that were often armed.
    • ·      Financing trade made Amsterdam the financial capital of Europe.

     

    ADVANTAGES OF A PRIVATELY-FINANCED, LONG-DISTANCE TRADING MONOPOLY

     

    The merchants of both countries realized that the traditional way to finance trading voyages – merchants and ship owners raising capital for each voyage separately and distributing profits and capital after the voyage – would be inadequate for the huge capital requirements of a sustained, large scale, risky trading venture in Asia. Merchants, investors, and shipowners would have to solicit outside investors to raise enough capital.

     

    They succeeded. For 200 years, the EIC and the VOC were the two largest private companies in Europe, based on book value (total capitalization).

     

    THE EIC AND VOC IN ASIA

     

    The English East India Company (EIC) was founded in 1600 and the Dutch equivalent (VOC) in 1602. Both had charters that gave them a monopoly on trade between their home country and Asia. They almost immediately became rivals. 

     

    In Asia, the EIC suffered defeats at the hands of the competing Dutch East India Company (VOC). The Dutch, led by a very aggressive director, defeated and replaced the Portuguese in the Spice Islands. Then the VOC was able to repulse attempts by the EIC to capture the islands. The Dutch eliminated English attempts to establish entrepots in the Dutch East Indies (Indonesia). The VOC also was the only foreign country allowed to trade with the isolationist Tokugawa shogunate in Japan. The VOC sold the Japanese desired products from all over Asia in exchange for the silver needed to finance the inter-Asian trade and products exported to Holland.

     

    The EIC early centered their operations on the entrepot trade in western India. The EIC’s first ships arrived in India in 1608, received permission to establish a factory (trading center) in 1613, and was granted permission by the Mughal emperor in 1615 to establish factories throughout the Mughal Empire.

     

    A historical look at the early evolution of global trade and how this led to the creation and dominance of the European business corporations English East India Company (EIC) and Dutch East India Company (VOC).

     

    Both countries saw an opportunity to become rich using their merchants, merchant capital, and shipping.

     

     

    The Beginning of the Industrial Revolution in England

    This essay describes the most immediate causes of the Industrial Revolution starting in the late 1700s, including some of the reasons it happened in England. But England had undergone changes in the prior two centuries that increased the chances the Industrial Revolution would start there. Economic growth had depended on England developing a global trading system partly based on its imperial empire. Trade (importing raw materials and exported finished goods), shipping, increased wealth, and a rising merchant class prospering from trade were key to this change. This transformation began in 1600.

     

    THE RISE OF ENGLAND AS A NAVAL AND MARITIME TRADING POWER IN THE 1600s

     

    Except for the Dutch, no other European nation depended on foreign trade for such a high proportion of its employment and gross national product.

     

    English merchant shipping more than doubled, from 150,000 tons in 1640 to about 340,000 in 1686.

     

    Taylor, 259

     

    The explosion of imports from the West Indies was one reason for the large increase in English shipping in this period. A related reason was the Atlantic slave trade, which England came to dominate. Barbados needed a large number of slaves to harvest sugar cane and produce sugar. The port of Bristol became wealthy by specializing in this trade. The town later put up a statue to one of its wealthiest slave traders. It was pulled down in 2020 in a Black Lives Matter rally.

     

    Shipbuilding remained a major industry in England into the 1900s.

     

    By 1700, England was the leading naval power in Europe, with the largest fleet. The English navy was twice as large as the Dutch navy.  London was Europe’s most important center for commerce and finance, passing Amsterdam. England’s power and wealth now depended on overseas trade and commerce. 

     

    In 1600, England had very little trade outside of Europe. By 1700, about 40% of English shipping tonnage carried American and Asian goods. 

     

    England had developed a global trading system. It would begin to assemble a global imperial system. Holland could not match England but continued to own a very lucrative colony in the Dutch East Indies and carried out extensive intra-Asian trade.

     

     INTO THE FUTURE

     

    The main point of the essay on the EIC is that the creation of the modern corporation and the extension of long-distance international trade developed together. These created great wealth in England, especially in its trading, shipping, and merchant class. Unlike wealth in land, this wealth was liquid (mobile) and would later be invested in railroads and manufacturing.

     

    Like the EIC, railroads and manufacturing companies were able to raise large amounts of capital, partly because the companies were limited liability companies and shareholders could sell their shares on the stock exchange. The “railroad mania” of the 1840s was the first stock market speculative bubble of the industrial age. It didn’t end well but it didn’t discourage widespread ownership in new companies.

     

    Also suggests reasons why England was in the best position to start the Industrial Revolution. England was manufacturing goods to be sold in the new English colonies; these markets, especially America, would expand in the 1700s. By mechanizing cotton textile production, England opened up a new, major source of trade revenue. England imported cotton from India and exporting cotton textiles to India and rest of the world.

     

    Later, in the 1800s, America would become the dominant source of cotton for English textile mills. Also the basis for America’s cotton textile industry. Sadly, this rescued slavery from possible extinction. 

    In both countries, the production of cotton textiles was the first industry of the Industrial Revolution. Cotton textiles were England’s largest source of exports throughout the 1800s. Cotton was the main export of the United States in the 19th century. Export earning helped pay for importing machinery and other industrial inputs.

     

    For a description of the EIC’s structure and strategy, see

    The English East India Company:  Trade with Asia

    For a conjecture that the EIC might be a model for future multinational corporations, see

    The English East India Company (EIC):  Model for Future Multinational Corporations?

     

    For an excellent survey of colonial America and the historical context, see

    Alan Taylor,  American Colonies:  The Settling of North America.


    For all posts in this blog, including links, see 

    List of Posts by Topic

    There are essays on colonial American History, American Economic History, and why England and America were the countries that started the Industrial Revolution. Also essays on;

    China.

    Information, innovation, and how markets work. 

    Business, finance, and economics. 

    Global and national demographics, population projections, and how they interact and influence economies. 

    Rome.

     

  • Adam Smith’s Pin Factory

    Adam Smith’s Pin Factory

    Adam Smith – Our Founding Father



    ADAM SMITH VISITS A PIN FACTORY

     

    Adam Smith’s description of a pin factory is on the first page of The Wealth of Nations.  (Chapter 1 – “Of the Division of Labour”)  Drawings of pin factories of this period show workers using hand tools. Smith says the process can be broken down into 18 distinct steps, including packaging the pins. Smith mentions that pin factory workers were poorly paid, despite their high productivity. 

     

    Adam Smith says he visited a pin factory employing 10 men who produced 48,000 pins per day.  If each of the ten workers had done all the steps themselves, Smith says each worker could produce only 10 or 20 pins per day.  So the pin factory replaces 2,400 to 4,800 pin makers. The increase in labor productivity (output per person per day) is as high as 50 times that of individual pin makers.  

     

    This reduction in unit cost or average cost (AC) and the huge increase in quantity produced do not just replace older methods of organization and production.  They increase the potential “extent of the market.” Existing users not only buy more pins at the lower price but also think up new ways to use cheaper pins. The geographical limits of the pin market expand; contemporary and future reductions in transportation costs further expand domestic markets and increase exports.


    Adam Smith is considered the Father (or maybe Godfather) of economics.  But this is not economics. At the heart of economics is the concepts of cost and price. No unit price of production or market price are given.

     

    As Adam Smith says, there are limits to specialization and division of labor, and thus limits to reducing unit costs.  But the major source of these limits is not “the extent of the market.” It is the limit of relying solely on the division of labor using pre-industrial production technology. As a source of the continuous increase in the “wealth of nations,” Adam Smith’s pin factory was a dead end, a one-time increase in productivity due to an organizational change. All that was about to change.

     

    Adam Smith’s pin factory is his only clear example of how an economy can grow through one type of innovation. But what is missing is any discussion of the Industrial Revolution or power-driven machinery, which had begun during Adam Smith’s lifetime.  Adam Smith knew James Watt, a brilliant mechanic who greatly increased the efficiency of steam engines. Both worked at the University of Glasgow at the same time. Smith was instrumental in hiring Watt. Watt patented his steam engine just as Smith began writing The Wealth of Nations.  A friend of Adam Smith invested in James Watt’s company to produce his new steam engines.  (The same friend, William Smart, was also Thomas Jefferson’s college tutor.) Adam Smith knew Mathew Boulton, the industrialist who convinced Watt to set up a company and factory to produce his steam engine. It was the beginning of the Industrial Revolution.

     

    Smith mentions “fire-engines” (steam engines) once in the entire book, on page 1, but only to illustrate how workers might improve the working of machines. His example is now considered a myth. He makes a vague statement about “proper machinery,” followed by the sentence, “It is unnecessary to give any examples.”

     

    It is hard to believe that someone could survive producing 10 pins a day. Someone this isolated and inefficient is a straw man. In reality, almost all economic activity requires specialization, division of labor, and coordination. In the Industrial Age, this means power-driven machinery, specialization by company and coordination of long supply chains.

    A capital goods sector would specialize in producing larger, faster, more efficient power-driven machinery with metal parts. Production became capital intensive; companies became much larger to realize economies of scale.  Economic theorists would continue to ignore the reality of the Industrial and Information Revolutions because the central dynamic – continuous, disruptive innovation leading to new production technology, lower average cost, and new corporate structures – would destroy their key models of perfect competition and general equilibrium. 

    PIN-MAKING GETS MECHANIZED IN AMERICA

    Pin production met the Industrial Revolution in the 1830s.

     

    Some pins were made in America, most in prisons and almshouses. At a New York almshouse, Dr. John Howe, the resident physician, observed pin making and began to invent a machine to mechanize the process. He made his first machine in 1832. In 1835, the Howe Manufacturing Company was established with capital from New York merchants.

     

    One of Howe’s pin machines could produce about 24,000 pins in an eleven-hour day.

     

    Much of the decrease in costs occurred in the packaging of the pins.  About half of the workforce packaged the pins. At first, the pins were “put out” to nearby families. Then the invention of a hand-powered packaging machine brought the operation into the factory. In 1856, a machinist at Howe invented a powered pin-packing machine.  Before his invention, women were paid $1.25 a day to pack about 150 packages; with his invention, women could pack 200 packages a day and were paid only $.75 a day.  (The story of Howe Manufacturing is from Steven Lubar, Engines of Change:  An Exhibition on the American Industrial Revolution, 1986, p. 56.)

     

    By the late 1970s, two hundred years after The Wealth of Nations, manufacturing plants using computer-driven automated machinery could produce 800,000 pins per worker per day. This is 160 times as many as in Adam Smith’s pin factory.

     

    EXTENSIONS

     

    In the United States, before the early 1800s when nails were mass-produced by machines, they were very expensive. If a family built a house using nails and decided to move west, they would often burn down the house to recover the nails for the next house. It is one reason there are so few “vernacular” houses in existence in America before the early 1800s.

     

    Mechanizing nail production had an even greater effect than mechanizing pin production. Cheaper nails revolutionized construction. They made possible the balloon-frame method of home building, where pieces of lumber were nailed together to make the house’s frame. In the long-run, the result was the American suburb.

     

    The story of the continuous improvement in the quality and variety of pins, and the decrease in the average (unit) cost, was repeated for related products. Besides nails:

     

    Spikes – critical input in the building of railroads.

    Rivets – made the mass production of airplanes possible.

     

    CONCLUSION
     

    Specialization with hand tools can go only so far. But what if power-driven machines continued to become faster, more reliable, more accurate, and more specialized?  Production per plant would go up tremendously and average unit cost would continue to decline. There would be no equilibrium. The Industrial Revolution would be a “permanent revolution.” 

     

    Specialization and division of labor does not lead to the Industrial Revolution. Production needs power-driven machinery and continuous improvement in machine tools, machinery, and organization. Machine tools make metal machine parts. New and more powerful sources of energy and heat are created. All of this, and more, has to be organize in new organization forms like factories, new types of management, and new types of internal controls.



    ————————————————————————————————————————–

    For an excellent example of an innovative entrepreneur at the beginning of the Industrial Revolution in England, see


    Josiah Wedgwood, the Wedgwood Pottery Company, and the Beginning of the Industrial Revolution.

    For the story of the how the Industrial Revolution began in England in the late 1700s, see 


    The Beginning of the Industrial Revolution in England

    For the argument that the United States was well- positioned to benefit from the Industrial Revolution, see


    The Beginning of the Industrial Revolution in America

    For some of the historical developments that made the Industrial Revolution likely in England, see


    England in the 1600s: The Beginning of England’s Rise to Global Power and Wealth

    The above essay explores the roles of the English East India Company (EIC) in Asia and the Navigation Acts in America and the West Indies in making England a global economic power. It gives context to the next two essays.


    For a more detailed look at the English East India Company, and why it was the first modern multinational corporation, see

    The English East India Company:  Trade with Asia

    For the story of America’s new revolutionary form of government and an outline of the first decades of American economic growth and development,

    A New Nation:  America From 1789 to 1860


    Further commentary on the dynamics of America’s economic development:


    How America Industrialized and Became Wealthy

    A Stylized Model of Innovation:  The Dynamics of Capitalism


    Alice in Wonderland and the Origins of Silicon Valley

    For the story of how England lost its economic leadership, see 

    Innovate or Fall Behind:  A Cautionary Tale:  England and the Industrial Revolution.


    There are a number of essays on American History and American Economic History including


    The Stock Market Crash of 1929 and the Beginning of the Great Depression


    For a list of all posts with links, see 


    List of Posts by Topic.


    There are more essays on American History and American Economic History. Essays on information, innovation, and how markets work. Essays on business, finance and economics. A series of essays on demographics, population projections, and speculations on how decreasing and aging populations will interact with the economics of individual countries and the global economy.

    List of Posts by Topic

    There are more essays on American History and American Economic History. Other essays on:

    Information, innovation, and how markets work. 

    Business, finance and economics. 

    Also a series of essays on demographics, population projections, and speculations on how decreasing and aging populations will interact with the economies of individual countries and the global economy. 

    Essays on a variety of historical topics, including the Industrial Revolution, Rome, and Europe in the World War I period.


     


     

     

     


    Further comment about Adam Smith. Most of Smith’s book was an argument against mercantilism and restrictions on international trade. At the heart of England’s trade policies was the Navigation Acts. They restricted the development of the economy of England’s North American colonies. American resentment and anger were a contributing factor to the American Revolution. Smith opposed England’s policy of not negotiating with the Americans and then England’s attempt to suppress the Revolution.





  • The Beginning of the Industrial Revolution in England

    The Beginning of the Industrial Revolution in England



    “The age is running mad after innovation.” Samuel Johnson


    In the Beginning


    Why study economic theory and analysis, read economic history, and make economic forecasts? The short answer is because of the Industrial Revolution and the attempt to understand its dynamics and structure. Economics is an attempt to understand the material world we live in, the environment created by the Industrial Revolution.


    THE BEGINNING OF THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION


    The Industrial Revolution began in England in the late 1700s. It then spread to America and western European countries. This post will summarize its origins in England and describe the early decades of the Industrial Revolution in America.


    The Industrial Revolution was a radical break in history. But in England, many of the preconditions were already in place, as can be seen by the history of the Wedgwood company.


    The revolutionary generation that first adopted steam engines saw the following trends and changes:


    Manufacturing was being modernized by a small group of entrepreneurs. Much of the new raw material processing and manufacturing was concentrated in a small area in the middle of England, away from London. These modernizing entrepreneurs formed a new economic, intellectual and social network.


    Modernizing entrepreneurs like Wedgwood, Darby, Wilkinson, and others tended to be members of Dissenting sects or Nonconforming churches (not members of the Church of England), Whig (liberals) in politics, and believers in “progress.” They were optimistic about the future, influenced by the ideas of Hume, Rousseau, Locke and Adam Smith. They believed their society could be reformed and they were active agents for improvement.


    They believed in studying and understanding the material world through reason, data, experience, and experimentation. They had personal ties with scientists and intellectuals. 


    Like Wedgwood, many came from poor backgrounds. Because of their backgrounds and religious beliefs, they could not attend Oxford or Cambridge. They were cut off from the traditional avenues of social advancement – government official, army or navy officers, and the Church of England. They were not large landowners. The Industrial Revolution gave them opportunities for economic success denied them under a pre-industrial society. Entrepreneurs could develop these opportunities because of a long political struggle in England to establish the rule of law, individual rights, property rights and limits on governmental power.



    The Industrial Revolution began when steam power was applied to drive newly invented metal machinery. A greatly improved steam engine was developed and patented by James Watt. Watt was convinced by a Midlands metal manufacturer named Matthew Boulton to start of company producing his new steam engine. The cylinders of the steam engines were produced for Boulton and Watt by John Wilkinson, who had perfected a method of boring more exact cylinders, first applied to making cannon for the English navy. 

    Steam engines replaced less powerful waterwheels. They also could be used where there were no rivers or streams to drive the waterwheels. The first use in London was to greatly expand a bakery.

    This became the starting point for the development and mass production of everyday products and services. The motivation was private profit. 


    The buildings housing power-driven machinery were the beginning of another innovation – the modern factory with a disciplined industrial labor force. Advancements in production planning, management and control exploiting the new production technology led to increased output and lower unit cost.  


    The most important discovery of the Industrial Revolution in England – what made it a revolution – was the invention of…invention. But inventions then had to be turned into innovations, the design of power-driven machinery, metal tools and machines, and large-scale production of useful products and services that people besides the rich could afford. Final products had to be continuously improved from prototypes to commercial products that customers found to be valuable (however defined), easier to use, and cheaper. Capital inputs and production methods changed together to mass-produce the products at lower real cost.  New markets were created. Companies competed on coming out with new and better products. 


    A detailed look at the early years of the Industrial Revolution in Great Britain reveals a hurricane of inventive activity. Hundreds of mechanics, engineers and tinkerers attempted to improve on the new and existing technology, develop variations, solve specific technical problems, propose new applications, and apply for patents to protect their ideas. Better machine tools and larger, faster machines were invented. New production systems and methods produced large quantities of new and improved goods at lower and lower real cost. The main reason for this explosion was the opportunity to profit from the sale and application of technical knowledge.


    The first industry to be transformed was the cloth industry. Cotton cloth, an expensive luxury product before the Industrial Revolution, was mass-produced by power-driven iron textile machinery. Huge increases in productivity led to a large fall in price and increased demand. Cotton cloth became England’s largest export throughout the 19th century. Power-driven metal machinery would transform the production of many traditional industries.


    We can measure the long-run results of ceaseless innovation in the weaving of cloth. A weaver today using modern looms can produce 100

    times the amount of cloth per hour produced by a hand-loom weaver 200 years ago.


    Many of the advances came together to create the railroad in the 1830s. Railroad locomotives were make possible by the development of high-pressure steam engines, an improvement James Watt decided to ignore and denounce. It took 25 years of experimentation and development to work out the technical details of an efficient locomotive and a practical railroad. Even failures often showed at least one technical improvement, solving one technical problem.


    The first general-purpose railroad was built in 1830 between the port of Liverpool and the new manufacturing center of Manchester. The railroad’s main function was to transport imported cotton to Manchester and cotton cloth back to Liverpool for export.




    =========================================================

    For two excellent books describing the invention and development of the Industrial Revolution in England, see


    William Rosen, The Most Powerful Idea in the World:  A Story of Steam, Industry and Invention. 2010.


    Gavin Weightman, The Industrial Revolutionaries:  The Making of the Modern World, 1776-1914.  2007.



    Related Blog Posts:

    Adam Smith’s Pin Factory At the beginning of the Industrial Revolution. Why Adam Smith’s Wealth of Nations does not explain the origins of the Industrial Revolution. How pin and nail production evolved later.

    For an excellent example of an innovative entrepreneur at the beginning of the Industrial Revolution in England, see


    Josiah Wedgwood, the Wedgwood Pottery Company, and the Beginning of the Industrial Revolution.

    How England lost its economic and technological leads. Moral – keep innovating or fall behind.


    A Cautionary Tale – England and the Industrial Revolution.

    Why America was in an excellent position to take advantage of the Industrial Revolution that began in England.

    The Beginning of the Industrial Revolution in America.


    For a list of related posts, see the Guide to Posts. There are essays on American Economic History, American History, China’s Economy, and the English East India Company. And much more.






  • Introduction to Economic Theory

     

    Introduction to Economic Theory

     

    It’s not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change.

    Charles Darwin                                              

    Introduction and Summary

    Economic theory, generalizations about economies, and economic history began as attempts to understand the Industrial Revolution.

    The economic theory posts on this blog describe and analyze economic development and economic growth since the start of the Industrial Revolution in the late 1700s. 

    Some writers describe the current economic trends as the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Other observers and commentators believe that information and communication technology and applications have become so central to the economy that we are in the Information Revolution. And others believe that we are at the beginning of the Biotechnology Revolution. These posts will concentrate on the ongoing, underlying dynamics of economic change and, for simplicity, will use Industrial Revolution as the historic label. But it will stress the vital role that information plays in economic development and economic growth. 

    The Information revolution was an integral part of the Industrial revolution. Information, through electronic communication starting with the telegraph in the 1840s, and new internal management and control information systems in the second half of the 19th century, made large and complex economic organizations possible. 

    Any economic discussion should describe or explain the dynamics and the resulting organizational structure of the Industrial Revolution. Market structures are commonly oligopolies, concentrated industries dominated by a few large corporations. One reason is the economies of scale of production that are the result of power-driven machinery. Within these structures, large, established corporations and innovative newcomers compete in a process of “creative disruption.”

    Different types of information are a part of this process and affect different types of economic decisions. One process is central: new information and knowledge are applied to create new technology (“useful knowledge”), new products and services, and new types of economic organizations. Innovation is the central driver of competition and economic change.

    In a capitalist economic system, corporations attempt to turn the commercialization of knowledge, information, and invention into profitable innovation and, collectively over time, economic development. What economics should describe is the continuous  commercialization and application of information and knowledge, summarized as technology.

     

    Technological innovation and organizational innovation developed together; it was the combination of the two that made economic development and growth possible.

    This innovation process is the driver of economic development. Economic development is the dynamic driver of economic growth. Economic growth is the basis for higher standards of living, increases in real income per capita, lower prices, and a greater variety of goods and services. The innovation process is also mostly responsible for longer life expectancies, reduced infant mortality, and the explosion of drugs and medical technology to fight diseases and epidemics. 

    In summary, this book:

     

    o   Emphasizes the dynamic forces in an industrial capitalist economy and how they lead to economic growth and higher standards of living.

     

    o   Describes and analyzes the resulting industry and corporate structures and how they affect competition, market behavior, and prices. Emphasizes the central role played by innovation. Argues that innovation, not price, is central to competition. Feasible strategies of different types of corporations are discussed.

     

    o   Highlights the role of various types of information in the economy and how different types of information influence competition and market outcomes.

     

    Descriptions of market mechanisms are presented. After that, the book discusses a competitive, industrial/informational economy. It attempts to describe and explain the dynamics and structure of an economy dominated by large corporations and subject to ceaseless technological and organizational change.


    Economic theory and economic history are taught separately. Economic theory is “ahistorical,” supposedly valid over the 250 years of the Industrial Revolution. This is hard to believe given the incredible technological and organizational changes that have occurred and continue to occur. Theories that lead to equilibrium seem inadequate to explain the “permanent revolution” of ceaseless change and disruption. 

     

    Any discussion of economic dynamics – change over time – involves history. Here, economic dynamics and resulting structure are illustrated by case studies and examples from economic and business history.


    Most of this discussion assumes a relatively unregulated, private enterprise, capitalist economy.

     

    The Industrial/Informational economy is facing several crises. The core crisis is the exponentially rising social costs (negative externalities) of industrial production and consumption such as pollution and the effects of climate change. These costs are threatening the long-run survival of the underlying economic system. To survive, much of public and private investment in the future – investment in new technology and organizational structures – will be aimed at reducing the causes and effects of the social costs of the economic system. The also present new opportunities for companies and economies to innovate to reduce social costs.

     

    Economic growth and development are influenced by underlying long-run trends. Many long-term trends are in the process of slowing or reversing, particularly demographic trends. A stable or declining number of people in the labor force is one cause of the increased investment in capital-intensive and information-intensive production. On the other hand, greater research and investment in biotechnology is partly the result of an aging population.

     

    Macroeconomics focuses on theories and analysis as support for government economic programs such as monetary and fiscal policies. In addition, I would like to focus on the tensions and stresses between an expanding global economy and a political world of 200 nation-states: in particular, the conflicts between multinational corporations and national governments.  

    My experience as a corporate economist and strategic planning manager, small business manager and director, business consultant, and nonprofit board member has been in the American economy. As a college professor I have taught a wide variety of courses in economics, finance, management, international economics and politics, and economic history.

    Innovation and Entrepreneurs

    Economic theory emphasizes that companies compete on the basis of price. Yet surveys of industries, especially capital goods and input industries, indicate that companies compete primarily on the basis of innovation.

    Existing companies applying core knowledge to develop new products and processes. They also buy innovative capital goods, information systems, and inputs to reduce unit costs, increase efficiency, and improve management control.  

    New companies develop and improve new technology. These new companies are founded by combinations of entrepreneurs and investors.  Their motivation is to turn knowledge and information into commercial technology for profit. 

    There is a long tradition of successful companies being started by a combination of individuals with specialized knowledge and skills teaming up with other individuals with capital and management experience. One current model is research scientists, often molecular biologists, commercializing their research by starting companies with financing from venture capitalists. Venture capitalists often provide initial advice and guidance. As the company develops, new management is brought in, often from large biotechnology companies. Crucial inputs for growth and efficiency are purchased from other innovative companies with new technology.

    The result of this basic dynamic is “creative disruption,” not equilibrium.   

    The Structure of the Economy

    We can think of the modern real sector of the economy as consisting of three parts – digital, physical, and biotechnological. Much of current innovation results from the interaction of these three parts.

    An economy is divided between consumer goods and capital goods. Consumer goods are products and services sold to individual consumers. Most consumer goods are produced by large corporations and sold under either brand names or the name of the company. Producers usually do not sell directly to consumers, although ecommerce websites and digital platforms come close. Most consumer goods markets are mediated by market-makers, particularly retailers, that bring producers and consumers together. The internet version of market-makers such as Amazon, Etsy, Airbnb and Expedia have also reduced transaction costs for consumers; more product information is available to consumers at a reduction in the search costs of time and money. On the other hand, massive amounts of information on individual consumers have made more refined price discrimination possible. The idea that markets are undefined abstractions where producers and consumers come together and create a “market-clearing” equilibrium price does not explain how markets actually work.

    Market-makers may write software eliminating agents, other market-makers. Travel agents and stock brokers are two areas. Tesla sells cars directly to buyers, eliminating car dealerships.

    Much of the economy consists of markets for capital goods and inputs. Markets for capital goods are summarized as investment; markets for inputs are usually summarized as supply or value-added chains. In these markets, both buyers and sellers are usually corporations. Corporations are buyers in some input markets and sellers in others along the supply chain. Efficiency and profit may depend on how well companies can negotiate prices and transaction conditions, and coordinate buying and selling.

    Large corporations account for over half the economy. Most markets are oligopolies, with large corporations producing a large percent of total industry output. When industries dominated by large corporations buy and sell in markets with large corporations on the other side, the market structure is bilateral oligopoly. 

    Small and medium sized companies play vital roles. New, innovative companies start as small companies; they challenge the market dominance of the large, mature companies. Other small companies, somewhere between 20 and 30 million in the United States, add choice and “local knowledge” to the mass production and distribution of products and services from large corporations. They are also a major market for the products and services of large corporations.

    An economy can be divided into mature companies and innovative companies. The increase in sales of mature companies depends mostly on the growth of total nominal disposable income. Many also grow through mergers and acquisitions. 

    Innovative companies are often characterized by sales growth rates substantially higher than the growth rate of total income. Innovative companies provide much of the economic development, and thus economic growth, of an industrialized economy. Mature companies provide stability and structure. Many small companies provide variety and flexibility.

    Information has been an important input since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution. Different types of information pervade all aspects of the economy. Mature companies spend large amounts on marketing and advertising. Capital goods and input companies provide information to their corporate customers. Information, a combination of hardware and software, is now an important output to final consumers and customers.

    Corporations turn public information into private information. Private or proprietary information is a source of corporate profit. Some of the impact of economic information is due to asymmetric information, where a company in an economic transaction has private knowledge or information not known to the other. This affects market outcomes. Some of the transaction costs are the costs of obtaining information to reduce asymmetric information. This creates opportunities for market-makers, organizations and individuals who reduce transaction costs partly by providing specialized information.

    The Economic Role of Government

    Government is a vital part of a modern economy. In the United States, all levels of government provide over 20% of all goods and services, a higher percent in Europe. The fund and manage public goods and services. They usually fund many programs that directly or indirectly contribute to economic development and economic growth. These programs, however, have to compete with funding national defense and social welfare and income distribution programs.

    Governments can provide stability and reduce transaction costs through laws and regulations. They can, directly or indirectly, reduce the social costs of production and consumption. 

    Advances in communication and transportation technology have expanded markets geographically and made them global. Large national corporations are becoming multinational corporations (MNCs) that sell globally and coordinate global supply chains. Through the internet, even small companies can potentially appeal to a global market. National and local companies now depend on global supply chains and information networks. All this is made possible by a dense global fiber optic network. 

    The expansion of the global economy has created new tensions and conflicts between national governments. It had also created tension between national governments and multinational corporations.

       

     The Themes of These Posts

    The Industrial Revolution is a break in human history.

    The Industrial Revolution, in its capitalist, private corporation version, is “permanent revolution.” It is based on unpredictable change caused by invention, innovation and disruption. Invention can occur anywhere but innovation occurs mostly inside corporations.

    Innovation is both technological and organizational. This determines industry structure, and through supply chains, market structure.

    Price competition is unstable and complicated. Market prices are not a single price determining equilibrium. Market prices and sales conditions are often determined by negotiation between large corporations. Prices (and competition) are influenced by asymmetric information. Proprietary information inside organizations is a source of competitive advantage.

    Information is both an input and an output.

    Companies in most industries compete on the basis of continuing innovation. This is true of the supply side of the economy – capital goods and inputs to other corporations.

    Economic growth is mostly a function of innovation. Innovative products and services turn potential demand into effective demand.

    An economy contains both innovative, disruptive forces, and stabilizing forces. Not all market and industry stabilizing forces are positive.

    An economy is a form of chaos. Part of the economy evolves from disruptive, unpredictable forces into more orderly, predictable structures. They, in turn, are disrupted by new rounds of innovation. Again, “permanent revolution.”

     

  • Wealth and Power in Pre-World War I Europe

    Wealth and Power in Pre-World War I Europe

    Krupp Steel Works, Gun Shop #1, 1917
    Library of Congress

    New Nations in Europe and Global Political Change (1860s – 1914) 

     

    New nation-states were formed in Europe at the beginning of this period – Italy in 1867, Germany in 1870, Austria-Hungary in 1867, and new nation-states carved out of Ottoman empire in the Balkans in the 1870s. 

     

    Other countries pursued new policies. France and England expanded their colony empires and fought a number of wars against native resistance (this was the first time machine guns were used). Russia attempted to expand its influence and control into Central Asia and the Far East (Siberia and Manchuria). Under pressure from the outside, Japan ended its isolation and started rapid industrialization in the 1860s and 1870s. By the 1890s, Japan began imperialist expansion by defeating China in a war and establishing control of Korea, Taiwan and part of Manchuria. The Chinese dynastic system came to an end in 1911, starting a period of internal chaos and violence. The United States also began to pursue an imperialist policy, defeating Spain in a short war to expand into the Caribbean and the Philippines. Combined with building the Panama Canal and control of Hawaii, America was becoming a Pacific power.

     

    These geopolitical changes would have serious consequences in the period leading up to World War I and later. They led to increased national rivalry in Europe and national confrontations in Africa, Central Asia and East Asia. Russia, China and the United States would all come up against Japanese imperial expansion in the 20th century.

     

    Nation-states in Europe were bigger, with access to more resources, including new, deadlier weapons (for one example, see the post The Maxim Machine Gun and Smokeless Powder).

     

    1870 – 1914:  New Political and Economic Dynamics in Europe

     

    Most of history has been the story of the struggle for power. Conflicts, wars, conquests, and civil wars among the political and warrior elites. Peasants who worked the fields for the landowning elites and paid taxes to the political elite, did not count for very much in this story.

     

    This narrative began to change with the coming of the American Revolution, the French Revolution, and the Industrial Revolution. Economic competition was added to political competition. New sources of wealth and power were created. The spread of literacy, the expansion of the franchise (right to vote), and the formation of political parties, representing the new middle class and industrial workers in the late 1800s and early 1900s, began to challenge the political dominance of king, the governments they appointed, and the landowning aristocracy that supported the status quo. This happened in Russia, Germany, and Austria-Hungary. In England, royalty and the nobility lost most of its political power. The House of Lords, a bastion of the old order, was stripped of its veto power, and new tax laws were undermining the economic base of the landowning aristocracy. Both political parties were headed by politicians with middle-class backgrounds. In France, unresolved ideological tensions were heightened during this period, culminating in the Dreyfus Affair of 1894-1906 that bitterly divided society between conservative and liberal groups. As a result, the Catholic Church, an important part of conservative power, was stripped of much of its political power and influence by new laws passed by a liberal government in the early 1900s.

     

    It was a period of tremendous economic development, economic growth, and social change. Some economic historians call this period the Second Industrial Revolution.  Much of the technology of the modern world was created during this period – electricity, steel, skyscrapers, autos, oil refining, chemicals, telephones, radio, movies, record players, and airplanes. There was a large expansion of railroads and steamships. A global telegraph network was built (called the “Victorian Internet” by Tom Savage’s delightful book of the same name). Everywhere there was the rapid expansion of mass production of industrial products, food and clothing, new consumer products, in factories, industrial centers and modern corporations. To finance this was a parallel expansion of banking and financial institutions. An increase in the international trade in food products threatened established national economic groups with political power, especially European landowners and peasants (except in Austria-Hungary). New industrial centers arose and the population of cities exploded.

     

    As the Industrial and Transportation Revolutions accelerated after 1870, new socioeconomic groups were formed and expanded, collectively creating new economic structures and great wealth. A small group of industrialists and financiers who owned or financed the new corporations became immensely wealthy. The spread of large and complex economic organizations created a demand for a new type of manager; a new industrial and organizational management class was formed. The new industrial and information technology also created a new social group based on scientific, engineering, intellectual and professional knowledge. Professional societies were formed, helping to raise the status of the new technological elite. 

     

    The new economic class of industrialists and capitalists were legitimatized by the political philosophies of free-market capitalism and liberal democracy. They lived in an intellectual post-Enlightenment and post-French Revolution atmosphere. These groups often came from poor backgrounds or religious and ethnic minorities.  

     

    The new economic order did not go unchallenged. It threatened the wealth, power and status of the traditional elite groups, especially the landed aristocracy and gentry. This elite from pre-industrial society often led the opposition to liberal democracy and bitterly opposed the disruptive changes of the Industrial Revolution. They upheld and defended the traditional values of the pre-Industrial Revolution world. They destroyed or tried to limit attempts by liberal or social democratic political parties to share power.

     

    This was a period of great technological and organizational change. These changes created rapid urban growth and disrupted the traditional agrarian social order. It caused great social stress and anxiety, especially among groups who felt they were socially or racially superior. (see Philipp Blom, The Vertigo Years:  Europe, 1900-1914, for an insightful analysis)

      

    Trade among the nations of Europe greatly increased. One consequence of the spread of international trade was it directly threatened the landed aristocracy who lived off rents. Their incomes declined as the price of agricultural output fell due to regional and international trade in agriculture products (watch the later episodes of Downton Abbey).  Lower tariffs, less protection, lower prices. The aristocracy relied more on service in government, especially in the foreign affairs offices and as ambassadors, and in the military, to retain power, income and status. Examples include Junkers (landed Prussian aristocracy and gentry) in Germany and the landed aristocrats in Russia and Austria-Hungary.

     

    The landed aristocracy controlled the top positions in government and military. Over 80% of top German military officers at the beginning of World War I were of Junker (Prussian titled nobility) background. They allied with other conservative, reactionary, and anti-modern groups – kings, churches, dispossessed artisans, peasants, and political and intellectual conservatives and reactionaries – who formed conservative political parties and influenced public opinion. Ideology and mythology romanticizing pre-industrial societies were used to denounce the effects of liberalism and capitalism. Related arguments demonized groups that benefited from these trends, especially Jews. Political anti-Semitism was effective in Austria-Hungary, especially in Vienna (see the post Austria-Hungary Before WWI). It was a potent weapon during the Dreyfus Affair in France. The tsarist regime in Russia promoted deadly pogroms (race riots against Jews) to divert national anger heightened by the disastrous Russo-Japanese War (1904-1905) and the violent suppression of the 1905 Revolution.

     

    Conservatives everywhere tried to divert opposition by appealing to nationalism, racism and imperialism. Bismarck and successor Prussian leaders successfully co-opted large industrial and banking companies, tying them to reactionary Prussian-dominated Germany, partly with government military contracts.  

     

     

    World War I

     

    World War I shattered the political power of pre-capitalist, reactionary groups in Russia, Austria-Hungary and partly in Germany. It seemed possible that liberal democracy, national self-determination and free market capitalism would triumph in Europe. The war broke up the empires of Russia and Austria-Hungary, creating new states in Central Europe. The Treaty of Versailles reduced the size of Germany and greatly limited the size of its military. But WWI led to chaos and violence in Central Europe, Communism in Russia, fascism in Italy and bitter, and violent opposition to the Weimar Republic in Germany. The Versailles Treaty in Germany was the target of German nationalist rallying cries. 

     

    HISTORICAL ANALOGIES (AND LESSONS?)

     

    We may be returning to the political world of the early 1900s. After World War I, appeals to nationalism and prejudice by anti-democratic demagogues were used against the “failure” of liberal democracy and capitalism. Now, “populist” national parties and their political leaders rally opposition to the new “liberal” economic and social order, angry at the growing wealth and power of new elites. International organizations and global trade are denounced. National “populists” expand power by demonizing ethnic and religious “enemies.” 

    —————————————————————————————————-

    BIBLIOGRAPHY

    GENERAL HISTORY OF THE 19TH CENTURY

     

    Richard J. Evans, The Pursuit of Power:  Europe 1815 – 1914. 2016.

     

    Good, general history of Europe.

     

    Jurgen Osterhammel, The Transformation of the World:  A Global History of the Nineteenth Century. First published in German, 2009. English translation, 2014.


    Large, dense book that discusses the 19th century by topics and themes rather than chronology. Covers an incredible range of topics. Pick and choose.

     

    BEFORE THE STORM

     

    Charles Emmerson, 1913:  In Search of the World Before the Great War. 2014.

     

    Attempts to describe what the world was like just before the war. A world tour of 21 cities. Some interesting material and commentary. Reenforces the idea that almost no one in Europe or elsewhere thought about the conflicts in the Balkans or the prospect of war.

     

    Philipp Blom, The Vertigo Years:  Europe, 1900-1914. 2008.
     

    Despite the book’s structure of picking one theme in each year, surprisingly insightful look at the years before WWI. Attempts at parallels to current (or continuing) society. Emphasizes psychological stress and social disruption caused by economic change, and their political and cultural consequences.  

     

    AUSTRIA-HUNGARY AND VIENNA.

     

    For a more detailed look at Austria-Hungary before WWI, see the related post

    Austria-Hungary Before WWI)

     

    Carl Schorske, Fin-De-Siecle Vienna:  Politics and Culture. 1980.

     

    Brilliant, seminal book on how the liberal, capitalist, upper middle classes lost political and cultural dominance in Vienna. Their newly-found influence and power were symbolized by the Ringstrasse and the buildings on it.  Rise of mass movements to challenge existing political order, including the use of anti-Semitism as a reactionary political weapon. (Observed by a young Adolf Hitler.)  Cultural (and psychoanalytic) attack on rationalist and ordered culture of Vienna. In the background, the gradual disintegration of Austro-Hungarian Empire.  Tie-in with Morton’s book.

     

    Geoffrey Wawro, A Mad Catastrophe:  The Outbreak of World War I and the Collapse of the Habsburg Empire.

     

    Excellent history of the combination of unreality, arrogance and stupidity of the military and political leaders of the Austro-Hungarian Empire that led to World War I.  Mostly a military history of the performance of the Austro-Hungarian army during the first year of the war.  Incredible incompetence leading to defeats against Serbia and Russia, resulting in horrific casualties.

     

    Stefan Zweig, The World of Yesterday.

     

    A literary and moral autobiography.  The tragedy of Europe as seen in the life of a literary intellectual who believed in a European community of intellectuals.  Dreamed of a peaceful, united Europe. Committed suicide in exile.
    ================================================

    For related posts, which could be read in order, see


    Bismarck and the Origins of World War I

    The Beginning of the Twentieth Century:  The Start of World War I


    The Austro-Hungarian Empire Before World War I


    Europe on the Brink of World War I


    The Immediate and Long-Run Historical Consequences of World War I


    The Maxim machine gun, which fired 600 rounds per minute, was one of the new weapons that made the WWI battlefield so deadly.


    The Maxim Machine Gun and Smokeless Powder


    For a list of all posts, with links, see List of Posts by Topic.